Today I continue my series on cycles. As I’ve done stock market research over the years, I’ve repeatedly come across the idea of market cycles that repeat around the same time of year. They’re often called seasonal or calendar cycles.
These cycles can be used in buying stocks and even rolling stocks on a long term basis. However they are probably most well documented in commodity markets, especially the agricultural commodities.
Stock market research has shown that these calendar cycles can be applied beyond commodities to any business that has a regular seasonality to it, whether it be retail, travel, financial, etc.
Like many things in stock market research, these market cycles aren’t as simple as buying or selling at the same time every year. They provide opportunities to look at the market in question, and the analyze it. But sometimes news may come out that a time of year that is normally strong for your market is going to be weaker than expected, and so it may actually turn into a shorting opportunity.
And just to make things even more challenging, sometimes normal calendar cycles don’t occur as they have for years and years before.
This should not disappoint or discourage you. As I am famous for teaching – no one indicator is worth much when it come to making money … and that includes cycles. It doesn’t mean they aren’t helpful. It simply means that you should consider them as only one part of the probability scenario in your total trading plan. And they can be a very important and powerful part of that plan.
In this video I share with you a couple of seasonal cycles:
- One of the most famous calendar cycles.
- One that I’ve found to me the most reliable.
Enjoy the video and then post your comments below. I’m very interested in your responses.
Interesting. I’ve never paid much attention to it but I see now that I should. You always have a different perspective on the markets and always point out something new to amaze me.
Thanks Barry!
Barry,
thanks for an other nice video. Looks like you have helped me add one more tool to my trading toolbox. WOW! How can I not be a success if I keep learnin and then faithfully proctice what I have learned?
Will you specifically point out how and what pairs of currencies might be affected by seasons and sesonality.
Thanks again for all you are doing to help we traders. A “spongue” named Larry.
This is day 2 for me on the 5 day course. I’ve enjoyed and appreciated your approach on the first day. This info was helpful as well. However, I’m enjoying the 4x market more. Thank you again for your willingness to help. Avi
Wow….that would’ve been great information to have on March 1st…..
Barry,
Thanks for another insightful lesson. Along with the earlier comment on seasonals on currency pairs I would be very interested in learning more about commodity seasonals in metals, crude, ng etc if there are patterns that followed. Also, the March 9 low may have been a pretty clear seasonal correlation, how can we determine if the seasonal pattern is intact in ohter, less obvious situations. Thanks again for all valuable knowledge you pass along so generously.
Just seeing the 2.nd free Video on Cycles, as have given me a lot of information, and started at once looking for number one. – Willy
I agree with tim howell as my crystal ball wasn’t working the 1st of March either (didn’t have Barry’s courses yet). I guess there are several calendar cycle trading possibilities. I’m thinking commodities like propane in the fall or gasolines which change formulations in the summer tightening supply maybe? Maintenance on pipelines and refineries usually occurs during the summer as well. What about agriculture related stocks like fertilizer companies ie TNH or POT? Looks like demand would be high in the spring and fall. Anyone have some ideas to share?
Thanks for the great video,I have some books on cd’s about how to trade calendar cycles.your vidio puts it in place .
thanks barry thats the clearest explanation of bollinger bands ever
thanks
great lesson
Need to look out now for March as well as Halloween … thanks for your kind support
Excellant videos. I learned alot from them,even though they were short. Thank you.
Dear Barry:
Thanks for all these free mini-courses, I realy enjoy them and listen to each twice!
Karen
Hello Barry,
I have studied a lot of the material that Barry puts out before,but I think he puts the package together and you look at the entire picture instead of just pieces.
Thanks Barry
Don
Thanks again Barry,for another piece of the puzzle, so many pieces!
Hi Barry
In this video, you have taught me to be aware of the eyes of March.
Hi Barry,
Great video, good to get some help from an expert like yourself. Thankyou.
Hi Barry,
I ‘ve seen your strategy worked in forex trading, especially when there is high volume of transection activities. Thanks for your video, I understand now why it works.
Regards
ChiaChow
thank you for the break.i needed that more than a stock tip. If we could have 1/2 the traders sign in to this video, the market would jump 25%.
good stuff Barry…. blue hard to see
all the time i used to read smaller articles which as well clear their motive, and that is also happening with this paragraph which
I am reading at this time.