Stock Market for investing in the year 2013.
In this video we ask what type of market we expect for the coming year in the stock market.
Will it be a bullish year?
Will it be a bearish year?
Will it be a frustrating neutral year that goes no where?
We look at charts, a poll of traders and a trusted cycle for clues.
For the poll referenced in the video, go to: www.facebook.com/TopDogTrading
I invite you to watch the video and post your own comments below.
Agree with your time frames and Pres. cycle.Gann 60 year cycle points toward major sept. low.Thanks for your help.
I would lean more in the direction of a bearish outlook for the following reasons:
(i) A cluster of fibonacci resistance levels lies around the S&P 1500 value, so there’s likely to be at least a short term slow down in that area, there is also a confluence of pivot resistance levels there (quarterly, monthly, weekly & daily).
(ii) The S&P 1570 zone coincides with multi year highs and projecting to that level with a regression channel to early April and using prevailing S&P futures volatility to calculate the estimated move since the trend reversal on Nov 16th last year, the market will have moved approx 2 standard deviations – hence a reversal is more likely than not.
(iii) Institutional trading volume has been steadily declining with advancing price – this is bearish.
(iv) For the last decades high of 1586.75 to be exceeded and become new support, equities will need to be considered fairly priced instead of over priced, that can only happen in a strong economy where companies have strong earnings & sales growth as opposed to speculative value. That is unlikely to happen in an economy dominated by an unmanageable debt ceiling. I don’t believe that the debt ceiling decision in February will win over the confidence of institutional investors, I would like to think that there will be a favorable outcome but history indicates otherwise.
Education, education, education – all inputs add a little bit to one’s knowledge. So where are we heading. Is this just a sideways pause before the onward and upwards (albeit perhaps some way off)or a sign of what the naysayers are predicting.
There are too many crosscurrents now to invest, in my judgement, based upon cycles or trends. Clearly the market is headed up now, but as the majority of earnings reports for this quarter trickle in and the year is finalized we will know better what the pundits will be saying about the future earnings in the various sectors. That, I think, is the basis upon which the markets will move. But there are always emotional factors too, such as the craze caused by media attention to the childish phenomen of Facebook. How many adults actually use it for meaningful purposes?
You really make it seem really easy along with your presentation but
I to find this matter to be really one thing which I think I would by no means understand.
It sort of feels too complicated and extremely broad for
me. I am looking ahead for your next post, I will try to get
the hang of it!
Hiya very cool blog!! Guy .. Excellent .. Superb .. I’ll bookmark your site and take the feeds additionally?I’m satisfied to find so many helpful info right here within the submit, we’d like work out more techniques on this regard, thanks for sharing. . . . . .
Thank you for any other informative website. The place else could I get that type of info written in such a perfect means? I have a project that I’m just now working on, and I’ve been on the look out for such information.
I have been browsing online more than 2 hours today, yet I never found any interesting article like yours.
It’s pretty worth enough for me. In my view, if all webmasters and bloggers made good content as you did, the net will be a lot more useful than ever before.
Howdy very nice web site!! Man .. Excellent .. Amazing
.. I will bookmark your website and take the feeds additionally?
I’m satisfied to seek out a lot of helpful information right here in the publish, we want work out extra strategies in this regard, thank you for sharing. . . . . .
You have among the best sites.
Hi! I could have sworn I’ve been to this site before but after going through a few of the articles I realized it’s new to me.
Regardless, I’m definitely delighted I stumbled upon it and I’ll be
book-marking it and checking back regularly!
whoah this weblog is excellent i like reading your articles.
Keep up the great work! You understand, lots of people are searching around for this info, you could help them greatly.
You are so interesting! I don’t think I’ve truly read anything like
that before. So nice to discover someone with genuine thoughts on this subject.
Really.. thanks for starting this up. This web site is something that is needed on the internet,
someone with a bit of originality!
Thanks for ones marvelous posting! I actually enjoyed reading
it, you could be a great author.I will be sure to bookmark your blog and will often come
back someday. I want to encourage continue your great writing, have a nice day!
Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wanted to say that I’ve really enjoyed surfing around your blog posts.
In any case I will be subscribing to your feed and I hope you write again very soon!
Hi to all, how is everything, I think every one
is getting more from this site, and your views
are fastidious in support of new users.
These are really impressive ideas in about blogging.
You have touched some fastidious things here.
Any way keep up wrinting.