Stock Market for investing in the year 2013.

In this video we ask what type of market we expect for the coming year in the stock market.

Will it be a bullish year?

Will it be a bearish year?

Will it be a frustrating neutral year that goes no where?

We look at charts, a poll of traders and a trusted cycle for clues.

For the poll referenced in the video, go to: www.facebook.com/TopDogTrading

I invite you to watch the video and post your own comments below.

 

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This entry was posted on Sunday, January 20th, 2013 at 9:05 pm and is filed under Current Market Analysis, Cycles, Investing, Stock Market Trading, Stocks. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

19 Responses to “Stock Market for Investing in 2013”

  1. Bob Ariss Says:

    January 20th, 2013 at 9:39 pm

    Agree with your time frames and Pres. cycle.Gann 60 year cycle points toward major sept. low.Thanks for your help.

  2. Andrew Gray Says:

    January 21st, 2013 at 12:14 am

    I would lean more in the direction of a bearish outlook for the following reasons:
    (i) A cluster of fibonacci resistance levels lies around the S&P 1500 value, so there’s likely to be at least a short term slow down in that area, there is also a confluence of pivot resistance levels there (quarterly, monthly, weekly & daily).

    (ii) The S&P 1570 zone coincides with multi year highs and projecting to that level with a regression channel to early April and using prevailing S&P futures volatility to calculate the estimated move since the trend reversal on Nov 16th last year, the market will have moved approx 2 standard deviations – hence a reversal is more likely than not.

    (iii) Institutional trading volume has been steadily declining with advancing price – this is bearish.

    (iv) For the last decades high of 1586.75 to be exceeded and become new support, equities will need to be considered fairly priced instead of over priced, that can only happen in a strong economy where companies have strong earnings & sales growth as opposed to speculative value. That is unlikely to happen in an economy dominated by an unmanageable debt ceiling. I don’t believe that the debt ceiling decision in February will win over the confidence of institutional investors, I would like to think that there will be a favorable outcome but history indicates otherwise.

  3. Lawrence Harris Says:

    January 21st, 2013 at 5:33 am

    Education, education, education – all inputs add a little bit to one’s knowledge. So where are we heading. Is this just a sideways pause before the onward and upwards (albeit perhaps some way off)or a sign of what the naysayers are predicting.

  4. Earl McHugh Says:

    January 21st, 2013 at 7:29 am

    There are too many crosscurrents now to invest, in my judgement, based upon cycles or trends. Clearly the market is headed up now, but as the majority of earnings reports for this quarter trickle in and the year is finalized we will know better what the pundits will be saying about the future earnings in the various sectors. That, I think, is the basis upon which the markets will move. But there are always emotional factors too, such as the craze caused by media attention to the childish phenomen of Facebook. How many adults actually use it for meaningful purposes?

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