Happy Holidays!

In the spirit of the holidays, I’m sharing with you a day trading technique used to help determine the overall picture of the stock market. It especially lends itself well to

The practical application of the technique is to help us decide how long we want to stay in a day trade – whether we expect short moves (and should take profits quickly), or we should expect long moves (and let our profits run).

This is just one technique I use in deciding the overall picture of the stock market for the day. For more techniques on determining the overall picture of the market for the day, see these Special Reports:




Top Dog Trading
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Stock Market for investing in the year 2013.

In this video we ask what type of market we expect for the coming year in the stock market.

Will it be a bullish year?

Will it be a bearish year?

Will it be a frustrating neutral year that goes no where?

We look at charts, a poll of traders and a trusted cycle for clues.

For the poll referenced in the video, go to: www.facebook.com/TopDogTrading

I invite you to watch the video and post your own comments below.


Is Stock Market Trading knowledge now required to make money or can one still just rely on buying stocks in a trend trading investing environment over the long term?

Stock Market Award A quick comment before we get to today’s topic about Stock Market Trading vs. Investing and whether one can simply succeed by buying stocks and rely on the upward trend trading bias of the stock market

I want to thank everyone who voted for Top Dog Trading in the TASC Readers Choice Awards. This is an annual awards poll conducted by “Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities Magazine” (great magazine I personally subscribe to and recommend). Awards are chosen by the readers themselves – meaning the users of the products and services.

Generally it’s huge stock market trading companies and corporations with mega- marketing budgets that win these awards. But I’m honored and humbled to say that I was graced with awards in both categories for which I qualified:

  • First runner up in the “Technical Analysis Websites” category.
  • Finalist in the “Trading Centers, Schools, Training” category.

To be given such high positions along with, and even above, massive stock market trading companies is quite an honor and I thank all of you who voted for me.


It used to be presented as common wisdom that most people should not try to time buying stocks, but rather depend on the overall upward bias of stock market trading over the years, rely on the upward trend trading historical pattern, and perhaps even dollar cost average into the market over the long term.

In recent years many people are now questioning that “common wisdom.”

We’ll examine some of those concerns in this brief video. While it certainly won’t answer all questions about stock market trading or when one should be buying stocks, it will demonstrate why the old principles of investing are being called into question by many stock traders, both amateurs and professionals, today.

Thanks for participating in this discussion and please leave your comments below.



Stock market trading can be challenging. So people are always looking for a short-cut, an easy strategy to invest and trade stocks.

One of the most well-know of these “easy” strategies is the Halloween Cycle.

Because this stock market trading strategy is so well-known, it is worth our investigation. After all, sometimes stock market techniques work for no other reason than a lot of people are trading them. They become self-fulfilling prophecies.

This strategy for trading stocks is about as easy as they come:

Buy the stock market around Halloween (late October, early November) … and then in May, go away.

That’s all there is to it (though surely others have added their own additional rules as people always will).

If you look back enough years, there has been some historic evidence that this may not be a bad strategy. However we must keep in mind several factors:

  1. Past performance does not guarantee future results (how many times have
    you heard that?!).
  2. Market dynamics change from time to time.

So the question stands:

Is this a good, simple, easy stock market trading strategy you can use without knowing anything else about trading or investing?

Here’s a video where we investigate that question with a few examples from recent history.

Thanks for participating in this discussion and please leave your comments below.